...ver a keyboard, surrounded by computer monitors, Donny Moore, 37, controls the fate of the National Football League. Its players throw as hard as Moore wants. They run as fast as he says they should. And the stars of America’s most popular sport aren’t always delighted by his judgments.
Genius | How Madden Ratings Are Made | FiveThirtyEight
Despite the ambitions of Franks and Miller, the statistical modeling and computation were complex, methods did not publicly exist, and the 80-gigabyte player-tracking database loomed as an unwieldy pain in the ass. Still, they were determined to make it work, and spent thousands of hours coding and recoding matchup models.
Department of Defense «
Meta Brown is a Senior Economist in the Microeconomic Studies Function. She is an applied microeconomist studying labor markets and households' consumption and investment choices. Particular topics include consumer debt, job referrals and search, human capital investment, and late-life asset decumulation and bequests. Prior to joining the New York Fed, Dr. Brown was an assista...
Genius | Meta Brown - Federal Reserve Bank of New York
...sitions for hedge funds is up just 0.2 percent in 2015, compared to a 2.3 percent gain for the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index, data compiled by Goldman Sachs show. A 19 percent year-to-date increase for Apple, which is owned by one in every five hedge funds and is a top-10 position for 12 percent of them, has provided a needed boost, the firm said.
The Performance of Many Hedge Funds Just Comes Down to Owning Apple - Bloomberg Business
...or how much closer together the teams are in expected win probability. In both the NBA and NFL, expected pregame win probabilities range from roughly 25% to 75%, but in baseball all of the teams fall between 40% and 60% pregame win probability:
Every Team’s Chances of Winning in Every Minute, According to Gamblers - Todd W. Schneider
... 2014-15 season, and produced a similar interactive visual. Gamblers of course take into account all available information when determining a team’s win probability, including team quality, injuries, motivation, and anything else they think is relevant:
Every Team’s Chances of Winning in Every Minute, According to Gamblers - Todd W. Schneider
I was curious what the FiveThirtyEight graph would look like if every team didn’t begin every game at 50% win probability, so I took all of the NBA in-game gambling odds from Gambletron 2000 for the 2014-15 season, and produced a similar interactive visual. Gamblers of course take into account all available information ...
Every Team’s Chances of Winning in Every Minute, According to Gamblers - Todd W. Schneider
... MIN_FUNDRAISE_AMOUNT = 50_000 MAX_FUNDRAISE_AMOUNT = 50_000_000_000 DOLLAR_CONVERSION_RATES = {'$' => 1.0, '€' => 1.3, '£' => 1.6} # these of course change over time, but close enough DEFAULT_CURRENCY = '$' CURRENCY_SYMBOLS = DOLLAR_CONVERSION_RATES.keys ESCAPED_CURRENCY_SYMBOLS = CU...
tcbi/techcrunch_article.rb at master · toddwschneider/tcbi · GitHub
Nobody knows what happens next, although bookmakers are now giving better than even odds that Greece will exit the euro. Maybe the damage would stop there, but I don’t believe it — a Greek exit is all too likely to threaten the whole currency project. And if the euro does fail, here’s what should be written on its tom...
Nobody Understands Debt - NYTimes.com